Canada’s federal government has announced a shift in immigration policy — while overall admissions are being reduced, French-speaking newcomers outside Quebec will see increased opportunities. Ottawa has set a new target for francophone permanent residents outside Quebec at 12% by 2029, up from the previous 10% benchmark set under Justin Trudeau’s government.

Prime Minister Mark Carney highlighted the importance of the change, noting that for decades Canada struggled to even reach 2% francophone admissions annually. The milestone of 4.4% was only achieved in 2022, despite a target first introduced back in 2003 to counter the steady decline of French language communities.

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Why It Matters

Liane Roy, president of the Fédération des communautés francophones et acadienne du Canada, warned that many rural francophone communities could disappear without stronger immigration support. She also emphasized that labour shortages would worsen without a steady inflow of French-speaking workers.

The government says the higher target will not only strengthen minority-language communities but also support economic growth. Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) has already started conducting Express Entry draws dedicated to French speakers to meet this rising demand.

A Demographic Challenge

French-speaking representation outside Quebec has dropped sharply — from 6.1% in 1971 to just 3.5% in 2021. Canada’s Commissioner of Official Languages, Raymond Théberge, stressed that long-term, sustained efforts are required — from international promotion to local integration and retention. He also urged Ottawa to provide clear resources and timelines to rebuild the demographic balance of francophone communities.

Overall Immigration Caps Lowered

At the same time, Canada is scaling back its broader immigration targets. The government now plans to admit 395,000 permanent residents in 2025, down from the earlier target of 500,000. Annual intakes will be capped at less than 1% of the national population, while international students and temporary workers will be limited to under 5% by 2027.

Statistics Canada has already reported zero population growth in early 2025, with the number of non-permanent residents falling for two straight quarters. The government is presenting these new limits as a response to housing shortages and rising living costs.

Looking Ahead

Despite tighter overall caps, French-speaking admissions reached 7.2% outside Quebec in 2024, equal to 30,550 newcomers. Roy said she hopes the number could one day rise to 20%.

Ottawa is also piloting a new program — the Francophone Community Immigration Pilot — targeting regions such as northern New Brunswick to encourage francophone settlement.

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